Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ETH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 0.028279 0.030987 0.033663 0.036500 0.039419 0.042328 0.045442
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 0.022831 0.027190 0.031615 0.036414 0.041450 0.046558 0.052110
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.019386 0.024860 0.030543 0.036819 0.043501 0.050359 0.057889
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.015921 0.022110 0.028688 0.036076 0.044047 0.052312 0.061464
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.013523 0.020281 0.027621 0.035986 0.045110 0.054648 0.065278
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.011324 0.018483 0.026436 0.035633 0.045765 0.056436 0.068396
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.009314 0.016736 0.025185 0.035099 0.046129 0.057826 0.071005
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.007072 0.014517 0.023270 0.033721 0.045481 0.058046 0.072284
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.006318 0.014078 0.023373 0.034577 0.047257 0.060858 0.076313
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.005250 0.013136 0.022823 0.034639 0.048108 0.062624 0.079172
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.003883 0.011649 0.021540 0.033801 0.047906 0.063196 0.080697
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.003090 0.010872 0.021081 0.033885 0.048711 0.064846 0.083367
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.002018 0.009618 0.020098 0.033480 0.049124 0.066248 0.085981
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.001146 0.008494 0.019255 0.033256 0.049778 0.067964 0.088999
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.000623 0.007803 0.018928 0.033623 0.051090 0.070395 0.092785
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.000081 0.006548 0.017751 0.032900 0.051099 0.071335 0.094896
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 NaN 0.005742 0.017124 0.032813 0.051816 0.073040 0.097824
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 NaN 0.004871 0.016326 0.032470 0.052203 0.074347 0.100283
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 NaN 0.003991 0.015424 0.031954 0.052353 0.075360 0.102391
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 NaN 0.002836 0.013937 0.030622 0.051495 0.075197 0.103160
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 NaN 0.002691 0.014112 0.031449 0.053206 0.077951 0.107172
2025-04-27 00:00:00+00:00 NaN 0.002253 0.013723 0.031509 0.053979 0.079617 0.109952
2025-05-04 00:00:00+00:00 NaN 0.001546 0.012713 0.030699 0.053677 0.080032 0.111310